Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.010443 0.012467 0.014950 0.018280 0.022723 0.028595 0.037209
2025-08-03 0.007910 0.010236 0.013449 0.018412 0.026294 0.039184 0.064117
2025-08-10 0.006387 0.008668 0.012056 0.017791 0.028076 0.047876 0.096660
2025-08-17 0.005299 0.007422 0.010730 0.016699 0.028407 0.054051 0.132375
2025-08-24 0.004556 0.006539 0.009749 0.015851 0.028758 0.060507 0.180716
2025-08-31 0.004177 0.006155 0.009494 0.016222 0.031774 0.075985 0.303091
2025-09-07 0.003755 0.005633 0.008896 0.015748 0.032647 0.086439 0.450199
2025-09-14 0.003382 0.005143 0.008275 0.015068 0.032736 0.094718 0.643987
2025-09-21 0.003147 0.004863 0.007994 0.015058 0.034661 0.112631 1.155815
2025-09-28 0.003020 0.004757 0.008028 0.015769 0.039109 0.149403 3.250632
2025-10-05 0.002974 0.004790 0.008340 0.017244 0.047064 0.226516 31.657508
2025-10-12 0.002858 0.004678 0.008331 0.017900 0.052683 0.310962 854137.785175
2025-10-19 0.002681 0.004448 0.008081 0.017964 0.056684 0.412476 NaN
2025-10-26 0.002524 0.004245 0.007863 0.018091 0.061423 0.571890 NaN
2025-11-02 0.002341 0.003968 0.007438 0.017485 0.062232 0.690801 NaN
2025-11-09 0.002151 0.003661 0.006906 0.016418 0.059944 0.736408 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001994 0.003409 0.006476 0.015589 0.058557 0.810430 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001919 0.003319 0.006416 0.015953 0.064635 1.274482 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001807 0.003145 0.006131 0.015489 0.065225 1.578820 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001696 0.002962 0.005807 0.014825 0.064050 1.796604 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001626 0.002862 0.005676 0.014815 0.067682 2.715539 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001593 0.002837 0.005732 0.015510 0.077825 6.693721 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001590 0.002877 0.005961 0.016951 0.097644 56.477684 NaN